FREESE-NOTIS INTERNATIONAL WEATHER
5:00 AM, Thursday, October 15, 2026
HIGHLIGHTS
5:00 AM CDT, Thu Oct 15, 2026
Soybean planting rain in Mato Grosso has been favorable recently, with above-normal moisture conditions supporting the start of the planting season as of October 15, 2026. The region has received 7.47 inches of rainfall over the recent period, according to CHIRPS data, which is 155% of the average, providing good planting moisture. Looking ahead, the precipitation forecast indicates a continued likelihood of rainfall, with 0.92 inches expected over the next 5 days and an additional 0.44 inches anticipated between days 6-10, suggesting that there will be sufficient moisture to support widespread soybean planting and early establishment over the next 7-10 days.
CHINA
For the 1-5 day outlook October 15-October 20, temperatures will average near 60.4 F which is 5.3F from normal. Rainfall will average 1.49". Approximately 93% of the area will receive a 0.25" or more. This compares to the earlier estimate today of 94%.15
For the 6-10 day outlook October 21 -October 25, wheat area temperatures will average near 54.6 F which is 1.6 from normal. Rainfall will average 0.11". Approximately 14% of the area will receive a 0.25" or more.15
BRAZIL
Soybean planting rain in Mato Grosso has been favorable recently, with above-normal moisture conditions supporting the start of the planting season as of October 15, 2026. The region has received 7.47 inches of rainfall over the recent period, according to CHIRPS data, which is 155% of the average, indicating good planting moisture. Looking ahead, the precipitation forecast suggests continued support for soybean planting, with expected rainfall totals of 0.92 inches over the next 5 days and an additional 0.44 inches from days 6 to 10, which should help sustain soil moisture for emerging crops. Overall, the near-term forecast indicates sufficient rainfall to support widespread soybean planting progress and emergence over the next 7 to 10 days.
For the 1-5 day outlook October 15-October 20, Mato Grosso Brazil Safrinha Corn and Soybean area temperatures will average near 83.6 F which is 3.0 from normal. Rainfall will average 1.16. Approximately 100% of the area will receive a 0.25" or more. This compares to the earlier estimate today of 100%.15
For the 6-10 day outlook October 21-October 25, Mato Grosso Brazil Safrinha Corn and Soybean area temperatures will average near 86.7 F which is 6.1 from normal. Rainfall will average 0.43. Approximately 57% of the area will receive a 0.25" or more. This compares to the earlier estimate today of 100%.
ARGENTINA
For the 1-5 day outlook October 15 -October 20, Argentina Wheat area temperatures will average near 55.9 F which is -6.7 from normal. Rainfall will average 0.17". Approximately 25% of the area will receive a 0.25" or more. This compares to the earlier estimate today of 0%.15
For the 6-10 day outlook October 21 -October 25, Argentina Wheat area temperatures will average near 60.6 F which is -2.9 from normal. Rainfall will average 0.67". Approximately 83% of the area will receive a 0.25" or more.15
ARGENTINA SOYBEAN GROWING AREAS
- For the 1-5 day outlook October 15-October 20, Sante Fe Argentina soybean area temperatures will average near 59.7 F which is -5.6 from normal. Rainfall will average 0.08. Approximately 0% of the area will receive a 0.25" or more. This compares to the earlier estimate today of 0%.15
INDIA
EUROPE
For the 1-5 day outlook October 15-October 20, temperatures will average near 59.0 F which is 8.8F from normal. Rainfall will average 0.24". Approximately 29% of the area will receive a 0.25" or more. This compares to the earlier estimate today of 29%.15
FORMER SOVIET UNION
For the 1-5 day outlook October 15-October 20, temperatures will average near 53.8 F which is 9.4F from normal. Rainfall will average 1.23". Approximately 98% of the area will receive a 0.25" or more. This compares to the earlier estimate today of 94%.15
For the 6-10 day outlook October 21 -October 25, area temperatures will average near 50.5 F which is 7.4 from normal. Rainfall will average 0.93". Approximately 91% of the area will receive a 0.25" or more.15
CANADA
For the 1-5 day outlook October 15-October 20, temperatures will average near 44.8 F which is 3.8F from normal. Rainfall will average 0.30". Approximately 32% of the area will receive a 0.25" or more. This compares to the earlier estimate today of 73%.15
For the 6-10 day outlook October 21 -October 25, area temperatures will average near 44.1 F which is 8.4 from normal. Rainfall will average 0.27". Approximately 46% of the area will receive a 0.25" or more.15
AUSTRALIA
For the 1-5 day outlook October 15-October 20, west area temperatures will average near 61.9 F which is -1.1F from normal. Rainfall will average 0.40". Approximately 100% of the area will receive a 0.25" or more. This compares to the earlier estimate today of 0%.15
For the 6-10 day outlook October 21 -October 25, west area temperatures will average near 62.0 F which is -2.2 from normal. Rainfall will average 1.50". Approximately 100% of the area will receive a 0.25" or more.15
For the 1-5 day outlook October 15-October 20, east area temperatures will average near 53.4 F which is -4.2F from normal. Rainfall will average 0.19". Approximately 0% of the area will receive a 0.25" or more. This compares to the earlier estimate today of 0%.15
For the 6-10 day outlook October 21 -October 25, east area temperatures will average near 55.1 F which is -3.9 from normal. Rainfall will average 0.68". Approximately 100% of the area will receive a 0.25" or more.
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WAYNE ELLIS/METEOROLOGIST
Freese - Notis Weather
Des Moines, IA 50312
Tel (515) 770-3598
snow@weather.net
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