FREESE-NOTIS
EVENING WEATHER UPDATE

5:00 PM, Thursday, October 09, 2025

MIDWESTERN U.S.

5:00 PM CDT, Thu Oct 09, 2025

MIDWEST U.S. - 1

It looks as if the NWS has officially announced that there is a ongoing La Nina and this La Nina will continue into the winter months. In the midwest, in the words of the US Drought Index, "there is a short-term drought, with localized longer-term impacts, continued to intensify this week from southwest Missouri northeast into central and northern Illinois, northern Indiana and northwest Ohio after another mainly dry week. In these areas, precipitation deficits grew while soil moisture and streamflow remained very low. As the intense dryness is occurring during the harvest, visibility restrictions from blowing dust were reported in parts of central Illinois, causing dangerous driving conditions. Enough rain fell across most of the central Lower Peninsula of Michigan to prevent further degradation of ongoing moderate and severe drought there." It is interesting that for this Hurricane season Arizone and New Mexico have had more days in the National Hurricane Center uncertainty cone than Florida. For the 1-5 day outlook October 9-October 14, corn belt temperatures will average near 64.4 F which is 8.8F from normal. Rainfall will average 0.19". Approximately 23% of the area will receive a 0.25" or more. This compares to the earlier estimate today of 23%.

For the 6-10 day outlook, October 14-October 18, the western corn belt temperatures will be Above normal. Rainfall will be Above normal. Eastern corn belt temperatures will be Above normal. Rainfall will be Below normal.

For the 11-15 day outlook October 19-October 23, the western corn belt temperatures will be Above normal. Rainfall will be Above normal. Eastern corn belt temperatures will be Above normal. Rainfall will be normal.

SOUTHEASTERN U.S.

For the 1-5 day outlook October 9-October 14, delta area temperatures will average near 71.2 F which is 6.6 F from normal. Rainfall will average 0". Approximately 0% of the area will receive a 0.25" or more. This compares to the earlier estimate today of 0%.

For the 6-10 day outlook, October 14-October 18, the Delta region temperatures will be normal. Rainfall will be normal. The southeast region temperatures will be Above normal. Rainfall will be Below normal.

For the 11-15 day outlook October 19-October 23, the Delta temperatures will be Above normal. Rainfall will be Below normal. The southeast region temperatures will be Above normal. Rainfall will be Below normal.

PLAINS

For the 1-5 day outlook October 9-October 14, winter wheat temperatures will average near 71.5 F which is 14.2 F from normal. Rainfall will average 0.17". Approximately 36% of the area will receive a 0.25" or more.. This compares to the earlier estimate today of 36%.

For the 6-10 day outlook, October 14-October 18, the winter wheat temperatures will be Above normal. Rainfall will be normal.

For the 11-15 day outlook October 19-October 23, the winter wheat temperatures will be Above normal. Rainfall will be Above normal.

NORTHERN PLAINS

For the 1-5 day outlook October 9-October 14, spring wheat temperatures will average near 58.2 F which is 10.2 F from normal. Rainfall will average 0.55". Approximately 76% of the area will receive a 0.25" or more. This compares to the earlier estimate today of 76%.

For the 6-10 day outlook, October 14-October 18, the spring wheat temperatures will be Above normal. Rainfall will be Above normal.

For the 11-15 day outlook October 19-October 23, the spring wheat temperatures will be Above normal. Rainfall will be Above normal.

NORTHEAST

For the 1-5 day outlook October 9-October 14, megalopolis area temperatures will average near 57.0 F which is -.7 F from normal. Rainfall will average 1.59". Approximately 100% of the area will receive a 0.25" or more. This compares to the earlier estimate today of 100%.

For the 6-10 day outlook, October 14-October 18, The Megalopolis temperatures will be Below normal. Rainfall will be normal.

For the 11-15 day outlook October 19-October 23, The Megalopolis temperatures will be Below normal. Rainfall will be normal.

SOUTH AMERICAN TEMPERATURE AND PRECIPITATION MAPS

For the 1-5 day outlook October 9-October 14, Rio Grande do Sul, Brazil Corn and Soybean area temperatures will average near 76.9 F which is 3.3 from normal. Rainfall will average 0.22". Approximately 33% of the area will receive a 0.25" or more. This compares to the earlier estimate today of 33%.9

For the 6-10 day outlook October 15 -October 19, Rio Grande do Sul, Brazil Corn and Soybean area temperatures will average near 78.7 F which is 4.9 from normal. Rainfall will average 0.33". Approximately 49% of the area will receive a 0.25" or more.9

ARGENTINA SOYBEANS