FREESE-NOTIS
EVENING WEATHER UPDATE

5:00 PM, Monday, June 22, 2026

MIDWESTERN U.S.

5:00 PM CDT, Mon Jun 22, 2026

MIDWEST U.S. - 1

The heavy rains have reached the East coast as New York City recorded a record 24 hour rainfall total of 0.75b. Meanwhile Record Heat was set again in Florida this time at Winter Haven where the thermometer recorded a High of 99 F. Meanwhile pleasant but cooler-than-normal temperatures are forecast for the Corn Belt, - 5 F below normal through June 27, with 0.9" average rain and widespread coverage especially across the southern areas atop already wet soils in KS/MO/IL/IN, maintaining excess moisture stress, limited fieldwork, and disease risk for corn/soybeans while slowing winter wheat harvest progress. Iowa and southern Minnesota will see limited rainfall the next five days. The forecast heavier precipitation will move to the northern plains for the 6 to 10 day time frame bringing some much needed moisture to northern Iowa, southern Minnesota and the eastern Dakotas. According to the latest USDA Crop Progress report corn is 97% emerged, silking advancing in southern states, and conditions are stable at 68% good/excellent. Similarly soybeans are 93% emerged, 9% blooming, solid 66% good/excellent. Soybeans should see supportive moisture but face short-term pressure from saturation and cooler temps delaying GDU accumulation; a shift to above-normal warmth and rainfall in the 6 to 10 day period (June 27 to July 1) will then accelerate development and favor recovery. Surprising, Wheat harvest jumped to 40% (well ahead in OK/KS) but wet Plains/Midwest conditions will hinder further gains and quality, while spring wheat heads near average with decent ratings. Alfalfa/hay cutting faces repeated delays from frequent rains. Overall, expect near-term volatility with bullish moisture-driven pressure on new-crop corn/soy, offset by longer-term warmth/moisture support. For the 1-5 day outlook June 22-June 27, corn belt temperatures will average near 69.8 F which is -5.0F from normal. Rainfall will average 0.88". Approximately 78% of the area will receive a 0.25" or more. This compares to the earlier estimate today of 78%. For the 6-10 day outlook, June 27-July 1, the western corn belt temperatures will be Above normal. Rainfall will be Above normal. Eastern corn belt temperatures will be Above normal. Rainfall will be Above normal.

For the 11-15 day outlook July 2-July 6, the western corn belt temperatures will be Above normal. Rainfall will be Above normal. Eastern corn belt temperatures will be Above normal. Rainfall will be Above normal.

SOUTHEASTERN U.S. - For the 1-5 day outlook June 22-June 27, delta area temperatures will average near 80.8 F which is -.3 F from normal. Rainfall will average 1.39". Approximately 100% of the area will receive a 0.25" or more. This compares to the earlier estimate today of 100%.

SOUTHEASTERN U.S.

PLAINS

NORTHERN PLAINS

NORTHEAST

SOUTH AMERICAN TEMPERATURE AND PRECIPITATION MAPS

ARGENTINA SOYBEANS