FREESE-NOTIS
UNITED STATES WEATHER AND CROP COMMENTS
6:00 PM, Friday, February 13, 2026
FORECAST HIGHLIGHTS
MIDWEST - For the 1-5 day outlook February 13-February 18, corn belt temperatures will average near 51.7 F which is 19.2F from normal. Rainfall will average 0.35". Approximately 39% of the area will receive a 0.25" or more. This compares to the earlier estimate today of 39%. For the 6-10 day outlook, February 18-February 22, the western corn belt temperatures will be ABOVE NORMAL. Rainfall will be ABOVE NORMAL. Eastern corn belt temperatures will be ABOVE NORMAL. Rainfall will be ABOVE NORMAL.
NORTHEAST - For the 1-5 day outlook February 13-February 18, megalopolis area temperatures will average near 35.5 F which is -.1 F from normal. Rainfall will average 0.08". Approximately 25% of the area will receive a 0.25" or more. This compares to the earlier estimate today of 25%.For the 6-10 day outlook, February 18-February 22, The Megalopolis temperatures will be NORMAL. Rainfall will be NORMAL.
DELTA/SOUTHEAST - For the 1-5 day outlook February 13-February 18, delta area temperatures will average near 60.1 F which is 13.5 F from normal. Rainfall will average 1.53". Approximately 100% of the area will receive a 0.25" or more. This compares to the earlier estimate today of 100%.For the 6-10 day outlook, February 18-February 22, the Delta region temperatures will be ABOVE NORMAL. Rainfall will be NORMAL. The southeast region temperatures will be ABOVE NORMAL. Rainfall will be NORMAL.
NORTHERN 1/2 PLAINS - For the 1-5 day outlook February 13-February 18, spring wheat temperatures will average near 45.6 F which is 25.6 F from normal. Rainfall will average 0.15". Approximately 10% of the area will receive a 0.25" or more. This compares to the earlier estimate today of 10%.For the 6-10 day outlook, February 18-February 22, the spring wheat temperatures will be NORMAL. Rainfall will be ABOVE NORMAL.
SOUTHERN 1/2 PLAINS - For the 1-5 day outlook February 13-February 18, winter wheat temperatures will average near 57.3 F which is 21.4 F from normal. Rainfall will average 0.40". Approximately 52% of the area will receive a 0.25" or more.. This compares to the earlier estimate today of 52%.For the 6-10 day outlook, February 18-February 22, the winter wheat temperatures will be ABOVE NORMAL. Rainfall will be ABOVE NORMAL.
CROP/LIVESTOCK/ENERGY IMPACTS
MIDWEST - Warmer than normal temperatures will reduce livestock feed needs.
DELTA/SOUTHEAST - Warmer than normal temperatures will reduce livestock feed needs.
NORTHERN 1/2 PLAINS - Warmer than normal temperatures will reduce livestock feed needs.
SOUTHERN 1/2 PLAINS - Warmer than normal temperatures will reduce livestock feed needs.
PAST WEATHER/SHORT-RANGE FORECAST
MIDWESTERN U.S. (NE to OH and central MN to southern IL)
Yesterday's temperatures across the western corn belt averaged 69.0 F about 5.8 F from normal. Rainfall averaged 0.07". Approximately 4% of the area received a 0.25" or more. Yesterday's temperatures across the eastern corn belt averaged 71.5 F about 7.8 F from normal. Rainfall averaged 0.01". Approximately 0% of the area will received a 0.25" or more.
For the 1-5 day outlook February 13-February 18, corn belt temperatures will average near 51.7 F which is 19.2F from normal. Rainfall will average 0.35". Approximately 39% of the area will receive a 0.25" or more. This compares to the earlier estimate today of 39%.
SOUTHEASTERN U.S. (Delta east to Carolinas)
For the 1-5 day outlook February 13-February 18, delta area temperatures will average near 60.1 F which is 13.5 F from normal. Rainfall will average 1.53". Approximately 100% of the area will receive a 0.25" or more. This compares to the earlier estimate today of 100%.
For the 6-10 day outlook, February 18-February 22, the Delta region temperatures will be ABOVE NORMAL. Rainfall will be NORMAL. The southeast region temperatures will be ABOVE NORMAL. Rainfall will be NORMAL.
NORTHERN PLAINS (ND to northern NE, eastern MT, eastern WY, northwest MN)
Yesterday's temperatures across the spring wheat belt averaged 57.8 F about 1.5 F from normal. Rainfall averaged 0.12". Approximately 11% of the area received a 0.25" or more.
For the 1-5 day outlook February 13-February 18, spring wheat temperatures will average near 45.6 F which is 25.6 F from normal. Rainfall will average 0.15". Approximately 10% of the area will receive a 0.25" or more. This compares to the earlier estimate today of 10%.
SOUTHERN PLAINS (southern NE to northern TX)
Yesterday's temperatures across the winter wheat belt averaged 72.3 F about 7.3 F from normal. Rainfall averaged 0.04". Approximately 7% of the area received a 0.25" or more.
For the 1-5 day outlook February 13-February 18, winter wheat temperatures will average near 57.3 F which is 21.4 F from normal. Rainfall will average 0.40". Approximately 52% of the area will receive a 0.25" or more.. This compares to the earlier estimate today of 52%.
NORTHEASTERN U.S. MEGALOPOLIS
For the 1-5 day outlook February 13-February 18, megalopolis area temperatures will average near 35.5 F which is -.1 F from normal. Rainfall will average 0.08". Approximately 25% of the area will receive a 0.25" or more. This compares to the earlier estimate today of 25%.
For the 6-10 day outlook, February 18-February 22, The Megalopolis temperatures will be NORMAL. Rainfall will be NORMAL.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK & GENERAL OVERVIEW OF U.S. PATTERN
For the 6-10 day outlook, February 18-February 22, the western corn belt temperatures will be ABOVE NORMAL. Rainfall will be ABOVE NORMAL. Eastern corn belt temperatures will be ABOVE NORMAL. Rainfall will be ABOVE NORMAL.
 
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WAYNE ELLIS/METEOROLOGIST
Freese - Notis Weather
Des Moines, IA 50312
United States of America
Tel (515) 770-3598
E-mail
hfreese@weather.net
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Twitter: @freesenotiswx
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