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Freese-Notis WeatherFREESE-NOTIS DOMESTIC WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS
 

FREESE-NOTIS
UNITED STATES WEATHER AND CROP COMMENTS


7:00 AM, Tuesday, July 23, 2024


6-10 Day Forecast Map

FORECAST HIGHLIGHTS

    MIDWEST - Relatively mild through the work week, becoming hotter this weekend into the 6-10 day perid. For the 1-5 day outlook July 23-July 28, corn belt temperatures will average near 75.4 F which is -1.1F from normal. Rainfall will average 0.57". Approximately 43% of the area will receive a 0.25" or more. This compares to the earlier estimate today of 40%. For the 6-10 day outlook, July 28-August 1, the western corn belt temperatures will be Above normal. Rainfall will be Above normal. Eastern corn belt temperatures will be Above normal. Rainfall will be Above normal.

    NORTHEAST - Near normal temperatures this week then warming to above normal by the 6-10 day period. For the 1-5 day outlook July 23-July 28, megalopolis area temperatures will average near 76.0 F which is -1.7 F from normal. Rainfall will average 0.59". Approximately 100% of the area will receive a 0.25" or more. This compares to the earlier estimate today of 100%.For the 6-10 day outlook, July 28-August 1, The Megalopolis temperatures will be Above normal. Rainfall will be Normal.

    DELTA/SOUTHEAST - Wet pattern the next ten days. For the 1-5 day outlook July 23-July 28, delta area temperatures will average near 76.7 F which is -5.5 F from normal. Rainfall will average 2.55". Approximately 100% of the area will receive a 0.25" or more. This compares to the earlier estimate today of 100%.For the 6-10 day outlook, July 28-August 1, the Delta region temperatures will be Normal. Rainfall will be Above normal. The southeast region temperatures will be Normal. Rainfall will be Above normal.

    NORTHERN 1/2 PLAINS - Drier than normal central and west the next ten days. For the 1-5 day outlook July 23-July 28, spring wheat temperatures will average near 74.6 F which is2.5 F from normal. Rainfall will average 0.16". Approximately 21% of the area will receive a 0.25" or more. This compares to the earlier estimate today of 37%.For the 6-10 day outlook, July 28-August 1, the spring wheat temperatures will be Above normal. Rainfall will be Normal.

    SOUTHERN 1/2 PLAINS - Drier pattern northwest 2/3 and wetter southeast portion through next week. For the 1-5 day outlook July 23-July 28, winter wheat temperatures will average near 81.1 F which is1.4 F from normal. Rainfall will average 0.01". Approximately 0% of the area will receive a 0.25" or more.. This compares to the earlier estimate today of 5%.For the 6-10 day outlook, July 28-August 1, the winter wheat temperatures will be Above normal. Rainfall will be Above normal.

    CROP/LIVESTOCK/ENERGY IMPACTS

      MIDWEST - Central Iowa reports mild to moderate wetness moisture is adequate for present needs Field conditions are drying. Additonal precipitation needed to end the drought, 1.73".Southwest Iowa reports moisture is adequate for present needs. Field conditions are drying. Additonal precipitation needed to end the drought, 5.15". Warmer than normal temperatures will reduce livestock feed needs.

      DELTA/SOUTHEAST - Northeast Arkansas reports moisture is adequate for present needs. Field conditions are normal Field conditions are drying Livestock feed needs will be normal for this time of the year.

      NORTHERN 1/2 PLAINS - Northeast North Dakota reports Prospects improved but rain still needed. Field conditions are drying Colder than normal temperatures will increase livestock feed needs.

      SOUTHERN 1/2 PLAINS - South Central Kansas reports Drought ended still serious , Field conditions are drying. Additonal precipitation needed to end the drought, 8.84".West Central Kansas reports Drought ended still serious , . Additonal precipitation needed to end the drought, 9.78".Southwestern Kansas reports Drought ended still serious , . Additonal precipitation needed to end the drought, 8.24". Warmer than normal temperatures will reduce livestock feed needs.


      PAST WEATHER/SHORT-RANGE FORECAST


1-5 Day Forecast Map

MIDWESTERN U.S. (NE to OH and central MN to southern IL)

    Highs Monday were in the low to mid 80's with a few widely scattered showers the past 24 hours and most amounts under a quarter inch.

    There will be more widely scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms the next couple days then dry the rest of the week. Scattered storms will move into southern areas on Sunday. Rain amounts the next 5 days will be from a few hundredths to a half inch where it rains. Highs will be mostly in the 80's throuh the week, but western areas may top 90 this weekend. Above normal temps during the 6-10 day period along with near to below normal precip west and above central and east. Yesterday's temperatures across the western corn belt averaged 74.5 F about -2.1 F from normal. Rainfall averaged 0.05". Approximately 9% of the area received a 0.25" or more. Yesterday's temperatures across the eastern corn belt averaged 73.6 F about -3.3 F from normal. Rainfall averaged 0". Approximately 0% of the area will received a 0.25" or more.


6-10 Day Forecast Map SOUTHEASTERN U.S. (Delta east to Carolinas)

    Highs yesterday were in the 80's to near 90 in a few spots. Rainfall was widely scattered in the Delta and Southeast the last 24 hours and rain totals mostly less than a quarter inch.

    It looks unsettled across the Delta and Southeast with scattered showers and storms through the week and into the weekend. Rain totals the next 5 days will be in the 1-3+" range causing localized flooding. Highs will be in the 80's through the weekend. Near to below normal temps for the 6-10 day period with mostly above normal precip, some below in NC. For the 1-5 day outlook July 23-July 28, delta area temperatures will average near 76.7 F which is -5.5 F from normal. Rainfall will average 2.55". Approximately 100% of the area will receive a 0.25" or more. This compares to the earlier estimate today of 100%.


NORTHERN PLAINS (ND to northern NE, eastern MT, eastern WY, northwest MN)

    Highs Monday were in the 80's to near 90. Much of the region was dry the past 24 hours with a few spotty light showers.


SOUTHERN PLAINS (southern NE to northern TX)

    Highs Monday were mostly in the 80's with a few areas receiving showers the past 24 hours and amounts less than a half inch.

    Scattered showers and storms will be confined to the southeast portion through mid week. More scattered storms late week into the weekend in the southeast section and isolated showers and storms elsewhere. Much of the region will receive a quarter inch or less into the weekend with .50-2.00+" amounts sooutheast areas. Highs will be in the 80's and 90's through the weekend. Above normal temps in the 6-10 day period in the northwest 2/3 of the region and near to below southeast. Below normal precip across the region at this time. Yesterday's temperatures across the winter wheat belt averaged 72.9 F about -6.8 F from normal. Rainfall averaged 2.12". Approximately 7% of the area received a 0.25" or more.


NORTHEASTERN U.S. MEGALOPOLIS

    For the 1-5 day outlook July 23-July 28, megalopolis area temperatures will average near 76.0 F which is -1.7 F from normal. Rainfall will average 0.59". Approximately 100% of the area will receive a 0.25" or more. This compares to the earlier estimate today of 100%.

    For the 6-10 day outlook, July 28-August 1, The Megalopolis temperatures will be Above normal. Rainfall will be Normal.


EXTENDED OUTLOOK & GENERAL OVERVIEW OF U.S. PATTERN

    The latest SST value in the Nino 3.4 region cooled slightly over the past week from + 0.3 to + 0.2 C. Most of the eastern 2/3 of the U.S. continue to look warmer than normal for the 11-15 day period. The eastern Midwest down to the Southeast will be wetter than normal and drier than normal elsewhere during this time.


1-10 Day and 1-15 Precipitation Forecast Map
    Copyright 2023

    WAYNE ELLIS/METEOROLOGIST
    Freese - Notis Weather
    Des Moines, IA 50312
    United States of America
    Tel (515) 282-9310

    E-mail hfreese@weather.net
    IM: weathertrader89
    Twitter: @freesenotiswx


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