FREESE-NOTIS UNITED STATES WEATHER AND CROP COMMENTS
7:00 AM, Thursday, June 12, 2025
FORECAST HIGHLIGHTS
MIDWEST - The 6-10 day period looks wetter than the next 5 days. For the 1-5 day outlook June 12-June 17, corn belt temperatures will average near 75.1 F which is 2.1F from normal. Rainfall will average 1.05". Approximately 89% of the area will receive a 0.25" or more. This compares to the earlier estimate today of 79%. For the 6-10 day outlook, June 17-June 21, the western corn belt temperatures will be Above normal. Rainfall will be Above normal. Eastern corn belt temperatures will be Above normal. Rainfall will be Above normal.
NORTHEAST - Near normal temperatures the next 5 days then warming to above normal for the 6-10 day outlook. For the 1-5 day outlook June 12-June 17, megalopolis area temperatures will average near 69.4 F which is -3.3 F from normal. Rainfall will average 0.70". Approximately 75% of the area will receive a 0.25" or more. This compares to the earlier estimate today of 100%.For the 6-10 day outlook, June 17-June 21, The Megalopolis temperatures will be Above normal. Rainfall will be Above normal.
DELTA/SOUTHEAST - Wet outlook the next ten days in the Delta, not as wet Southeast. For the 1-5 day outlook June 12-June 17, delta area temperatures will average near 78.9 F which is-.7 F from normal. Rainfall will average 2.19". Approximately 100% of the area will receive a 0.25" or more. This compares to the earlier estimate today of 100%.For the 6-10 day outlook, June 17-June 21, the Delta region temperatures will be Above normal. Rainfall will be Above normal. The southeast region temperatures will be Above normal. Rainfall will be Above normal.
NORTHERN 1/2 PLAINS - Increasingly unsettled the next ten days. For the 1-5 day outlook June 12-June 17, spring wheat temperatures will average near 70.5 F which is2.6 F from normal. Rainfall will average 1.70". Approximately 99% of the area will receive a 0.25" or more. This compares to the earlier estimate today of 99%.For the 6-10 day outlook, June 17-June 21, the spring wheat temperatures will be Above normal. Rainfall will be Above normal.
SOUTHERN 1/2 PLAINS - Potential for heavy rainfall southeast portion through the weekend, drier across the region in the 6-10 day period. For the 1-5 day outlook June 12-June 17, winter wheat temperatures will average near 79.1 F which is4.3 F from normal. Rainfall will average 0.55". Approximately 66% of the area will receive a 0.25" or more.. This compares to the earlier estimate today of 57%.For the 6-10 day outlook, June 17-June 21, the winter wheat temperatures will be Above normal. Rainfall will be Above normal.
CROP/LIVESTOCK/ENERGY IMPACTS
MIDWEST - Wetter trend will add to the soil moisture the next ten days. .
DELTA/SOUTHEAST - Wet pattern in the Delta may leave some crop fields saturated.
NORTHERN 1/2 PLAINS - Wet outlook the next ten days will add to the soil moisture.
SOUTHERN 1/2 PLAINS - Localized flooding potential in the southeast portion the next few days.
PAST WEATHER/SHORT-RANGE FORECAST
MIDWESTERN U.S. (NE to OH and central MN to southern IL)
Highs Wednesday were in the 80's in most areas east of the Mississippi River and low to mid 90's further west. Rainfall the past 24 hours was confined to roughly the northern third with amounts between .10-.50".
It looks unsettled into early next week with scattered showers and a few storms with the heaviest rain in the northwest and southeast sections with 5 day rain amounts of .50-2.00+". In between, lesser .25-1.00" totals. Highs will be mostly 80's to near 90 the next few days with some 70's north and 80's central and south this weekend into early next week. Above normal temps and precip in the 6-10 day period. Yesterday's temperatures across the western corn belt averaged 75.6 F about 3.7 F from normal. Rainfall averaged 0.05". Approximately 8% of the area received a 0.25" or more. Yesterday's temperatures across the eastern corn belt averaged 74.4 F about 1.9 F from normal. Rainfall averaged 0". Approximately 0% of the area will received a 0.25" or more.
SOUTHEASTERN U.S. (Delta east to Carolinas)
Highs yesterday were in the 80's and low 90's with some showers in the southwest Delta and .50-1.50" amounts the past 24 hours. Rainfall in the rest of the region was lighter and more isolated.
Scattered showers and storms today through early next week with .50-2.00+" amounts. Severe storms are possible. Highs will be in the 80's and low 90's through Monday. Near to above normal temps in the 6-10 day period with above normal rain in the Delta and near to below Southeast. For the 1-5 day outlook June 12-June 17, delta area temperatures will average near 78.9 F which is-.7 F from normal. Rainfall will average 2.19". Approximately 100% of the area will receive a 0.25" or more. This compares to the earlier estimate today of 100%.
NORTHERN PLAINS (ND to northern NE, eastern MT, eastern WY, northwest MN)
Highs yesterday were in the 70's and 80's with some rain southeast areas and .10-.50" totals the past 24 hours.
Scattered showers and a few storms through early next week with 5 day rain totals of .50-2.00". Highs will cool to the upper 60's and 70's the next few days then warming to the 70's and 80's this weekend into early next week. Above normal temps and precio in the 6-10 day period. Yesterday's temperatures across the spring wheat belt averaged 68.9 F about 2.3 F from normal. Rainfall averaged 0.11". Approximately 12% of the area received a 0.25" or more.
SOUTHERN PLAINS (southern NE to northern TX)
Highs Wednesday were in the 80's and low 90's with showers in the southeast portion and some .50-1.00" amounts the last 24 hours.
Unsettled weather the next 5 days with scattered to isolated showers and storms. The heaviest rain will be in the east half with .75-3.00" amounts east and lesser .10-.75" west. Highs will be in the 80's and low 90's through early next week. Mostly above normal temps and below normal precip in the 6-10 day period. Yesterday's temperatures across the winter wheat belt averaged 75.2 F about 1.7 F from normal. Rainfall averaged 2.20". Approximately 3% of the area received a 0.25" or more.
NORTHEASTERN U.S. MEGALOPOLIS
Highs Wednesday were in the 80's.
For the 1-5 day outlook June 12-June 17, megalopolis area temperatures will average near 69.4 F which is -3.3 F from normal. Rainfall will average 0.70". Approximately 75% of the area will receive a 0.25" or more. This compares to the earlier estimate today of 100%.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK & GENERAL OVERVIEW OF U.S. PATTERN
Above normal temperatures across the Central and Eastern U.S. for the 11-15 day outlook. Near to above normal precipitation in the Northern Plains and the Midwest with below normal in the Central and Southern Plains. Near normal rain for the Delta and Southeast at this time.

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WAYNE ELLIS/METEOROLOGIST
Freese - Notis Weather
Des Moines, IA 50312
United States of America
Tel (515) 770-3598
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Twitter: @freesenotiswx
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