FREESE-NOTIS
UNITED STATES WEATHER AND CROP COMMENTS

6:00 PM, Monday, November 09, 2026

FORECAST HIGHLIGHTS

MIDWEST - Corn Belt Forecast 2026-11-09 17:15 The extended forecast for the Corn Belt indicates a significant cooldown and precipitation event on Veterans Day, with temperatures dropping substantially across the region. According to the NWS Zone Forecasts, highs on Veterans Day are expected to range from the mid-40s to the lower 60s, with winds gusting up to 25-35 mph in areas such as Lincoln, NE, and Peoria, IL. Precipitation chances vary across the region, with some areas like Peoria, IL, and Springfield, IL, expecting rain likely in the afternoon with 50-60% chance of precipitation, while others like Des Moines, IA, have a 30% chance. Following Veterans Day, temperatures are expected to remain cool, with highs in the mid-40s on Thursday across much of the Corn Belt, as seen in forecasts for locations like Des Moines, IA, and Omaha, NE. This cooldown and precipitation event may impact the remaining corn and soybean harvest, which is already behind the 2021-2025 average in many states, with 18 states reporting 81% corn harvested and 92% soybeans harvested as of November 8, according to the latest USDA NASS Crop Progress Report. For the 1-5 day outlook November 9-November 14, corn belt temperatures will average near 48.7 F which is 5.6F from normal. Rainfall will average 0.13". Approximately 26% of the area will receive a 0.25" or more. This compares to the earlier estimate today of 26%. For the 6-10 day outlook, November 14-November 18, the western corn belt temperatures will be ABOVE NORMAL. Rainfall will be ABOVE NORMAL. Eastern corn belt temperatures will be ABOVE NORMAL. Rainfall will be BELOW NORMAL.

NORTHEAST - For the 1-5 day outlook November 9-November 14, megalopolis area temperatures will average near 50.5 F which is 2.5 F from normal. Rainfall will average 0.46". Approximately 50% of the area will receive a 0.25" or more. This compares to the earlier estimate today of 50%.For the 6-10 day outlook, November 14-November 18, The Megalopolis temperatures will be ABOVE NORMAL. Rainfall will be BELOW NORMAL.

DELTA/SOUTHEAST - For the 1-5 day outlook November 9-November 14, delta area temperatures will average near 57.3 F which is 3.5 F from normal. Rainfall will average 0.07". Approximately 0% of the area will receive a 0.25" or more. This compares to the earlier estimate today of 0%.For the 6-10 day outlook, November 14-November 18, the Delta region temperatures will be NORMAL. Rainfall will be NORMAL. The southeast region temperatures will be B normal. Rainfall will be BELOW NORMAL.

NORTHERN 1/2 PLAINS - For the 1-5 day outlook November 9-November 14, spring wheat temperatures will average near 42.1 F which is 9.7 F from normal. Rainfall will average 0.05". Approximately 0% of the area will receive a 0.25" or more. This compares to the earlier estimate today of 0%.For the 6-10 day outlook, November 14-November 18, the spring wheat temperatures will be ABOVE NORMAL. Rainfall will be ABOVE NORMAL.

SOUTHERN 1/2 PLAINS - For the 1-5 day outlook November 9-November 14, winter wheat temperatures will average near 50.9 F which is 6.8 F from normal. Rainfall will average 0.01". Approximately 0% of the area will receive a 0.25" or more.. This compares to the earlier estimate today of 0%.For the 6-10 day outlook, November 14-November 18, the winter wheat temperatures will be ABOVE NORMAL. Rainfall will be ABOVE NORMAL.

CROP/LIVESTOCK/ENERGY IMPACTS

MIDWEST - Warmer than normal temperatures will reduce livestock feed needs.

DELTA/SOUTHEAST - Livestock feed needs will be normal for this time of the year.

NORTHERN 1/2 PLAINS - Colder than normal temperatures will increase livestock feed needs.

SOUTHERN 1/2 PLAINS - Warmer than normal temperatures will reduce livestock feed needs.

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PAST WEATHER/SHORT-RANGE FORECAST

MIDWESTERN U.S. (NE to OH and central MN to southern IL)

Yesterday's temperatures across the western corn belt averaged 69.0 F about 5.8 F from normal. Rainfall averaged 0.07". Approximately 4% of the area received a 0.25" or more. Yesterday's temperatures across the eastern corn belt averaged 71.5 F about 7.8 F from normal. Rainfall averaged 0.01". Approximately 0% of the area will received a 0.25" or more.

For the 1-5 day outlook November 9-November 14, corn belt temperatures will average near 48.7 F which is 5.6F from normal. Rainfall will average 0.13". Approximately 26% of the area will receive a 0.25" or more. This compares to the earlier estimate today of 26%.

SOUTHEASTERN U.S. (Delta east to Carolinas)

For the 1-5 day outlook November 9-November 14, delta area temperatures will average near 57.3 F which is 3.5 F from normal. Rainfall will average 0.07". Approximately 0% of the area will receive a 0.25" or more. This compares to the earlier estimate today of 0%.

For the 6-10 day outlook, November 14-November 18, the Delta region temperatures will be NORMAL. Rainfall will be NORMAL. The southeast region temperatures will be B normal. Rainfall will be BELOW NORMAL.

Yesterday's temperatures across the spring wheat belt averaged 57.8 F about 1.5 F from normal. Rainfall averaged 0.12". Approximately 11% of the area received a 0.25" or more.

For the 1-5 day outlook November 9-November 14, spring wheat temperatures will average near 42.1 F which is 9.7 F from normal. Rainfall will average 0.05". Approximately 0% of the area will receive a 0.25" or more. This compares to the earlier estimate today of 0%.

Yesterday's temperatures across the winter wheat belt averaged 72.3 F about 7.3 F from normal. Rainfall averaged 0.04". Approximately 7% of the area received a 0.25" or more.

For the 1-5 day outlook November 9-November 14, winter wheat temperatures will average near 50.9 F which is 6.8 F from normal. Rainfall will average 0.01". Approximately 0% of the area will receive a 0.25" or more.. This compares to the earlier estimate today of 0%.

NORTHEASTERN U.S. MEGALOPOLIS

For the 1-5 day outlook November 9-November 14, megalopolis area temperatures will average near 50.5 F which is 2.5 F from normal. Rainfall will average 0.46". Approximately 50% of the area will receive a 0.25" or more. This compares to the earlier estimate today of 50%.

For the 6-10 day outlook, November 14-November 18, The Megalopolis temperatures will be ABOVE NORMAL. Rainfall will be BELOW NORMAL.

For the 6-10 day outlook, November 14-November 18, the western corn belt temperatures will be ABOVE NORMAL. Rainfall will be ABOVE NORMAL. Eastern corn belt temperatures will be ABOVE NORMAL. Rainfall will be BELOW NORMAL.

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WAYNE ELLIS/METEOROLOGIST
Freese - Notis Weather
Des Moines, IA 50312
United States of America
Tel (515) 770-3598

E-mail hfreese@weather.net
IM: weathertrader89
Twitter: @freesenotiswx

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