FREESE-NOTIS
UNITED STATES WEATHER AND CROP COMMENTS

7:00 AM, Monday, October 13, 2025

FORECAST HIGHLIGHTS

MIDWEST - Scattered rainfall west at times this week, mainly dry east. For the 1-5 day outlook October 13-October 18, corn belt temperatures will average near 65.3 F which is 11.4F from normal. Rainfall will average MM". Approximately 35% of the area will receive a 0.25" or more. This compares to the earlier estimate today of 35%. For the 6-10 day outlook, October 18-October 22, the western corn belt temperatures will be Above normal. Rainfall will be Above normal. Eastern corn belt temperatures will be Above normal. Rainfall will be Above normal.

NORTHEAST - Near normal temperatures this week, warming to above normal in the 6-10 day outlook. For the 1-5 day outlook October 13-October 18, megalopolis area temperatures will average near 55.3 F which is -1.0 F from normal. Rainfall will average 1.08". Approximately 75% of the area will receive a 0.25" or more. This compares to the earlier estimate today of 75%.For the 6-10 day outlook, October 18-October 22, The Megalopolis temperatures will be Above normal. Rainfall will be Normal.

DELTA/SOUTHEAST - Wetter outlook in the Delta during the 6-10 day period. For the 1-5 day outlook October 13-October 18, delta area temperatures will average near 73.5 F which is 10.3 F from normal. Rainfall will average 0". Approximately 0% of the area will receive a 0.25" or more. This compares to the earlier estimate today of 0%.For the 6-10 day outlook, October 18-October 22, the Delta region temperatures will be Normal. Rainfall will be Normal. The southeast region temperatures will be Above normal. Rainfall will be Above normal.

NORTHERN 1/2 PLAINS - Above normal precipitation the next ten days. For the 1-5 day outlook October 13-October 18, spring wheat temperatures will average near 57.0 F which is 10.8 F from normal. Rainfall will average 0.67". Approximately 99% of the area will receive a 0.25" or more. This compares to the earlier estimate today of 100%.For the 6-10 day outlook, October 18-October 22, the spring wheat temperatures will be Normal. Rainfall will be Above normal.

SOUTHERN 1/2 PLAINS - Drier than normal trend in much of the region the next ten days. For the 1-5 day outlook October 13-October 18, winter wheat temperatures will average near 68.5 F which is 12.9 F from normal. Rainfall will average 0.33". Approximately 62% of the area will receive a 0.25" or more.. This compares to the earlier estimate today of 55%.For the 6-10 day outlook, October 18-October 22, the winter wheat temperatures will be Above normal. Rainfall will be Above normal.

CROP/LIVESTOCK/ENERGY IMPACTS

MIDWEST - Some rain the next ten days will bring brief delays for crop harvesting.

DELTA/SOUTHEAST - Wetter trend in the Delta next week will bring some relief to the dry areas.

NORTHERN 1/2 PLAINS - Wetter outlook the next ten days will slow fieldwork.

SOUTHERN 1/2 PLAINS - Drier than normal in much of the region the next ten days will allow for more fieldwork.

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PAST WEATHER/SHORT-RANGE FORECAST

MIDWESTERN U.S. (NE to OH and central MN to southern IL)

Highs this weekend were in the upper 60's and 70's with scattered showers west half the past 72 hours and most amounts a quarter inch or less.

Showers in central areas this morning will dissipate by midday, otherwise dry today across the region. The east half will be mainly dry through the week. The west will be more unsettled with scattered showers tonight and tomorrow and again later this week. Rain amounts in the west the next 5 days will be in the .25-.75" range. Unseasonably warm this week with highs in the 60's and 70's, near 80 far south mid to late week. Above normal temps continuing into the 6-10 day period with near to below normal precip west and above central and east. Yesterday's temperatures across the western corn belt averaged 64.4 F about 8.4 F from normal. Rainfall averaged MM". Approximately 1% of the area received a 0.25" or more. Yesterday's temperatures across the eastern corn belt averaged 64.4 F about 8.0 F from normal. Rainfall averaged 0". Approximately 0% of the area will received a 0.25" or more.

SOUTHEASTERN U.S. (Delta east to Carolinas)

Highs this weekend were in the 70's and 80's, except 60's in NC. The Delta and much of the Southeast were dry the last 72 hours with showers in the eastern Carolinas and some .50-2.00" amounts, coastal areas received 2-3" rein totals.

Except for a few light showers near the Atlantic coast today, it looks dry across the Delta and Southeast through Friday. Scattered showers will move into the Delta on Saturday. Highs will be in the 70's and 80's this week, more widespread 80's mid to late week. Above normal temps in the 6-10 day period with above normal precip in the Delta and near to below for the Southeast. For the 1-5 day outlook October 13-October 18, delta area temperatures will average near 73.5 F which is 10.3 F from normal. Rainfall will average 0". Approximately 0% of the area will receive a 0.25" or more. This compares to the earlier estimate today of 0%.

Highs this weekend were in the upper 60's and 70's with some rain the past 72 hours favoring the east half and .25-1.00" amounts.

Today looks dry then more showers will spread across the region tomorrow through mid week with some .50-1.50" rain totals. Drying out by Friday. Much cooler this week with highs in the upper 40's and 50's the next few days and 50's to a few low 60's later this week. Near to below normal temps west and above east in the 6-10 day period with near to above normal precip. Yesterday's temperatures across the spring wheat belt averaged 57.2 F about 8.7 F from normal. Rainfall averaged 0.03". Approximately 0% of the area received a 0.25" or more.

Highs this weekend were in the 80's and a few low 90's. Mostly dry weather occured the past 72 hours with any rain southwest section light and spotty.

Much of the region looks dry the next few days with only isolated showers far north. The northwest third will receive widely scattered showers mid to late week and remaining dry elsewhere. Rain amounts northwest will be a quarter inch or less through the work week. Highs will be in the 70's and 80's north portion and 80's to near 90 elsewhere through this week. Above normal temps remaining in the 6-10 day period with below normal precip. Yesterday's temperatures across the winter wheat belt averaged 70.0 F about 12.3 F from normal. Rainfall averaged 2.10". Approximately 3% of the area received a 0.25" or more.

NORTHEASTERN U.S. MEGALOPOLIS

Highs were mostly 60's this past weekend.

For the 1-5 day outlook October 13-October 18, megalopolis area temperatures will average near 55.3 F which is -1.0 F from normal. Rainfall will average 1.08". Approximately 75% of the area will receive a 0.25" or more. This compares to the earlier estimate today of 75%.

The overall warm pattern will continue in the 11-15 day period across the eastern 2/3 of the nation. Above normal precip in the Southern Plains and much of the Midwest, and below normal in the Northern and Central Plains as well as the Delta and Southeast.

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WAYNE ELLIS/METEOROLOGIST
Freese - Notis Weather
Des Moines, IA 50312
United States of America
Tel (515) 770-3598

E-mail hfreese@weather.net
IM: weathertrader89
Twitter: @freesenotiswx

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