FREESE-NOTIS
UNITED STATES WEATHER AND CROP COMMENTS

7:00 AM, Tuesday, October 14, 2025

FORECAST HIGHLIGHTS

MIDWEST - Unsettled weather in the west half this week, mainly dry east. For the 1-5 day outlook October 14-October 19, corn belt temperatures will average near 64.6 F which is 11.1F from normal. Rainfall will average 0.41". Approximately 67% of the area will receive a 0.25" or more. This compares to the earlier estimate today of 35%. For the 6-10 day outlook, October 19-October 23, the western corn belt temperatures will be Above normal. Rainfall will be Above normal. Eastern corn belt temperatures will be Above normal. Rainfall will be Above normal.

NORTHEAST - Near normal temperatures the next 5 days, warming to above normal in the 6-10 day period. For the 1-5 day outlook October 14-October 19, megalopolis area temperatures will average near 56.1 F which is .2 F from normal. Rainfall will average 0.20". Approximately 25% of the area will receive a 0.25" or more. This compares to the earlier estimate today of 75%.For the 6-10 day outlook, October 19-October 23, The Megalopolis temperatures will be Above normal. Rainfall will be Above normal.

DELTA/SOUTHEAST - Dry the rest of this week, increasingly wetter next week. For the 1-5 day outlook October 14-October 19, delta area temperatures will average near 73.7 F which is 10.9 F from normal. Rainfall will average 0.67". Approximately 100% of the area will receive a 0.25" or more. This compares to the earlier estimate today of 0%.For the 6-10 day outlook, October 19-October 23, the Delta region temperatures will be Above normal. Rainfall will be Above normal. The southeast region temperatures will be Above normal. Rainfall will be Above normal.

NORTHERN 1/2 PLAINS - Above normal precipitation the next ten days. For the 1-5 day outlook October 14-October 19, spring wheat temperatures will average near 56.6 F which is 11.0 F from normal. Rainfall will average 0.70". Approximately 100% of the area will receive a 0.25" or more. This compares to the earlier estimate today of 99%.For the 6-10 day outlook, October 19-October 23, the spring wheat temperatures will be Above normal. Rainfall will be Above normal.

SOUTHERN 1/2 PLAINS - Some rain north portion the rest of the week, otherwise drier than normal the next ten days. For the 1-5 day outlook October 14-October 19, winter wheat temperatures will average near 67.9 F which is 12.8 F from normal. Rainfall will average 0.31". Approximately 56% of the area will receive a 0.25" or more.. This compares to the earlier estimate today of 62%.For the 6-10 day outlook, October 19-October 23, the winter wheat temperatures will be Above normal. Rainfall will be Above normal.

CROP/LIVESTOCK/ENERGY IMPACTS

MIDWEST - Some rain the next ten days will slow or delay crop harvesting.

DELTA/SOUTHEAST - Dry outlook the rest of the work week will allow for more fieldwork, wetter pattern next week will slow fieldwork.

NORTHERN 1/2 PLAINS - Cooler than normal temperatures will increase livestock feed needs through the weekend.

SOUTHERN 1/2 PLAINS - Dry outlook will allow for more fieldwork.

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PAST WEATHER/SHORT-RANGE FORECAST

MIDWESTERN U.S. (NE to OH and central MN to southern IL)

Highs Monday were in the 60's and 70's along with scattered rainfall central and west the past 24 hours with amounts less than a quarter inch.

Scattered showers for western and central areas today into tomorrow morning then another round of scattered showers west half Friday into the early weekend. The east will stay dry through the work week with increasing showers this weekend. Most rain amounts will be in the .25-.75" range, lighter in eastern areas. Highs will remain in the 60's and 70's through the weekend with a few low 80's far south later this week. Above normal temps during the 6-10 day period with near to below normal precip west portion and above central and east. Yesterday's temperatures across the western corn belt averaged 62.3 F about 6.8 F from normal. Rainfall averaged MM". Approximately 1% of the area received a 0.25" or more. Yesterday's temperatures across the eastern corn belt averaged 65.7 F about 9.7 F from normal. Rainfall averaged 0". Approximately 0% of the area will received a 0.25" or more.

SOUTHEASTERN U.S. (Delta east to Carolinas)

Highs yesterday were in the upper 60's in parts of NC, otherwise 70's and 80's. Most of the Delta and Southeast were dry the last 24 hours with isolated rain near the Atlantic coast.

It looks dry through Friday across the region then scattered showers and isolated storms will move into the Delta on Saturday and spread eastward into the Southeast on Sunday. Highs will be in the upper 70's and 80's into the weekend. Above normal temps remaining in the 6-10 day period with above normal precip. For the 1-5 day outlook October 14-October 19, delta area temperatures will average near 73.7 F which is 10.9 F from normal. Rainfall will average 0.67". Approximately 100% of the area will receive a 0.25" or more. This compares to the earlier estimate today of 0%.

Highs Monday were mostly in the 50's with a few scattered showers overnight and amounts a tenth of an inch or less.

Wet and chilly through mid week with scattered showers. Drying out Friday and the weekend. Rain amounts through the week will be in the .50-1.50" range west and .10.50" east. A few snowfkakes could mix with the rain far northwest tonight. Highs will be in thee upper 40's and 50's the next couple days and 50's to low 60's later in the week. Near to below normal temps west and above east in the 6-10 day period with above normal precip. Yesterday's temperatures across the spring wheat belt averaged 50.1 F about 2.1 F from normal. Rainfall averaged MM". Approximately 0% of the area received a 0.25" or more.

Highs Monday were in the upper 60's and 70's northwest half and 80's to near 90 southeast. Scattered rainfall occured in the southwest section the past 24 hours with amounts less than a quarter inch.

More scattered showers west and north today and again later this week with isolated showers elsewhere late week into the early weekend. Areas that receive rain will have rain totals varying from .10-.75". Highs will be in the upper 60's northwest to upper 80's southeast today and in the upper 70's to near 90 mid to late this week. Above normal temps with mostly below normal precip in the 6-10 day period, near to above normal precip far southeast. Yesterday's temperatures across the winter wheat belt averaged 61.2 F about 3.8 F from normal. Rainfall averaged 1.95". Approximately 14% of the area received a 0.25" or more.

NORTHEASTERN U.S. MEGALOPOLIS

For the 1-5 day outlook October 14-October 19, megalopolis area temperatures will average near 56.1 F which is .2 F from normal. Rainfall will average 0.20". Approximately 25% of the area will receive a 0.25" or more. This compares to the earlier estimate today of 75%.

For the 6-10 day outlook, October 19-October 23, The Megalopolis temperatures will be Above normal. Rainfall will be Above normal.

Unfortunately, there is no data available for the latest SST value in the Nino 3.4 region due to the government shutdown. The previous couple weeks this value was at - 0.5 C from normal bordering on a weak La Nina. Most areas east of the Rockies look warmer and drier than normal for the 11-15 day period.

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WAYNE ELLIS/METEOROLOGIST
Freese - Notis Weather
Des Moines, IA 50312
United States of America
Tel (515) 770-3598

E-mail hfreese@weather.net
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