Mato Grosso, Brazil, soybean planting is nearly complete, with the majority of the crop in vegetative stages, focusing on stand establishment and early canopy development. Recent dryness has raised concerns about the crop's early growth, with the last 15 days seeing only 1.80 inches of precipitation, approximately 54% of normal. Temperatures have been slightly above normal, with a 15-day mean temperature of 83.2°F, 2.0°F above normal.

The forecast indicates a welcome change in the next 1-5 days, with 0.85 inches of precipitation expected, followed by 1.64 inches in the 6-10 day period and 1.26 inches in the 11-15 day period. The DBS data supports this, showing 1.69 inches of precipitation expected in the next 1-5 days with 100% coverage for Mato Grosso soybeans, and 2.52 inches in the 6-10 day period. Temperatures are expected to be near normal, with a departure of -2.5°F in the 6-10 day period. Regionally, other Brazilian states are also expecting significant rainfall, with Goiás seeing 2.24 inches in the next 1-5 days and Paraná expecting 3.29 inches in the 11-15 day period.

Argentina is experiencing varied conditions, with Córdoba and Rosario receiving normal to above-normal precipitation, while Northern Argentina remains dry. The DBS data shows 0.60 inches of precipitation expected in the next 1-5 days for Argentina Corn and Soybeans, with 71% coverage.

Bottom line: Mato Grosso soybeans are poised to benefit from expected rains in the next 1-5 and 6-10 days, supporting stand establishment and early canopy growth. Monitoring the distribution and intensity of these rains will be crucial for assessing their impact on the crop.